Gerhard - Bitcoin Strategy

▶ Watch the full video: https://youtu.be/C-lNLxngILQ

Arbitrum's token unlock schedule reveals a structural headwind that every ARB holder should understand before sizing a position.

This chart maps yearly supply expansion from today's 6.36B circulating tokens through 2031, when cumulative supply reaches 10.00B. In the next 12 months alone, team and investor vesting adds 0.90B tokens while DAO Treasury releases contribute 0.29B, producing net new supply of 1.19B, equal to roughly 18.7% of today's circulating float. That figure steps down in subsequent years, 12.6% in 2028, 11.0% in 2029, 8.6% in 2030, 6.3% in 2031, but remains elevated throughout the window.

The lower panel adds important context: of the 10B genesis supply, 36% remains locked today, with the next major unlock flagged as the DAO Treasury tranche on July 16, 2026.

The core analytical question is straightforward. For price to hold flat, demand must absorb nearly 19% more supply over the coming year. With active addresses declining and total value locked trending lower, the burden of proof sits firmly with the bull case.

#Arbitrum #ARB #Altcoin #Crypto #Investing #Cryptocurrency

6 hours ago | [YT] | 2

Gerhard - Bitcoin Strategy

▶ Watch the full video: the-bitcoin-strategy.com/r/3RhB70ya

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7 hours ago | [YT] | 1

Gerhard - Bitcoin Strategy

▶ Watch the full video: https://youtu.be/jZ_Hor77jYA

🤩 Making Money With Altcoin Scams!

I break down why the dominance charts most traders rely on actually overstate how well altcoins are performing, using Worldcoin as a concrete example: its price dropped 95% from its March 2024 peak while its market cap held near those same highs. That gap comes down to relentless token inflation driven by insiders and VCs quietly offloading supply, and I walk through exactly how that structural drain can be turned into a tradeable edge rather than a loss.


💎 Premium analysis: the-bitcoin-strategy.com/r/91u1Tmhb

9 hours ago | [YT] | 0

Gerhard - Bitcoin Strategy

▶ Watch the full video: https://youtu.be/RNkPtlhBJv8

Ethereum underperformed Bitcoin by 70% after its best upgrade

→ The merge was supposed to fix Ethereum. Tokenomics improved massively. 18 million fewer ETH in supply. And it still didn't matter.
→ ETH is up 18% since the merge. Bitcoin tripled. That's not a rough patch. That's a structural problem.


#ETHvsBTC #BitcoinDominance #EthereumAnalysis #CryptoMacro

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12 hours ago | [YT] | 4

Gerhard - Bitcoin Strategy

▶ Watch the full video: https://youtu.be/DxnMmVXLaXM

A simple moving average crossover strategy on Solana has produced a 1,213.6% return since 2020, according to this backtest, worth understanding before dismissing rule-based systems as too basic.

The chart plots Solana price on a log scale alongside SMA(14) and SMA(31) from 2020 through early 2026. The strategy logic is straightforward: buy on a golden cross, where SMA(14) crosses above SMA(31), and sell on a death cross, where SMA(14) crosses below SMA(31). Trading fees and financing fees are already included, and the results use perpetual futures with no leverage.

The lower panel shows strategy equity growing from roughly $10,000 toward $125,000 over the period. By comparison, a simple buy-and-hold approach returned just over 100%. The long-short strategy also reduced maximum drawdown from 96% to 80%.

As of the 28th of June, Solana was in a confirmed golden cross, placing it in a bullish signal at the time of recording. The creator notes the signal flips regularly, so this approach demands active monitoring rather than passive holding.

#Solana #SOL #Altcoin #Crypto #TradingStrategy #Cryptocurrency #Investing

14 hours ago | [YT] | 1

Gerhard - Bitcoin Strategy

▶ Watch the full video: https://youtu.be/DxnMmVXLaXM

Solana's price action since late 2025 tells a clear story of sustained distribution, and this chart makes the structure hard to ignore.

The white line is the SOL spot price. The orange line is the 14-day simple moving average, and the blue line is the 31-day simple moving average. Both are plotted on TradingView using the SolUSD pair. As of July 6, 2026, price sits at 77.63, the SMA(14) is at 75.19, and the SMA(31) is at 72.37.

From a peak near 160 in late 2025, SOL has been in a consistent downtrend, with price repeatedly failing to hold above either moving average for any meaningful duration. The rare moments where price crosses above the SMAs have so far resolved to the downside.

One analytical note worth holding: the creator behind this work flags that the optimal leverage for an active Solana trading strategy is 1.75x, a notably conservative figure that underscores how much volatility this asset carries at the daily timeframe.

#Solana #SOL #Altcoin #Crypto #CryptoAnalysis #Cryptocurrency #Investing

23 hours ago | [YT] | 1

Gerhard - Bitcoin Strategy

▶ Watch the full video: the-bitcoin-strategy.com/r/3RhB70ya

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1 day ago | [YT] | 0

Gerhard - Bitcoin Strategy

Do you own any physical gold?

1 day ago | [YT] | 1

Gerhard - Bitcoin Strategy

▶ Watch the full video: https://youtu.be/tdng6mBvkSc

Perpetual futures traders are right 99.8% of the time

→ I tried to scalp funding rates for free money
→ 99.8% of data points fell outside my threshold


#FundingRates #PerpetualFutures #Hyperliquid #BitcoinTrading #Bitcoin

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1 day ago | [YT] | 2

Gerhard - Bitcoin Strategy

▶ Watch the full video: https://youtu.be/M02fVrFfjTA

Stablecoin outflows just flipped. Bitcoin is in trouble.

→ Every major Bitcoin rally since 2023 was funded by stablecoin inflows. BTC went from 25K to 125K while stablecoin market cap rose 130%. Now that flow has reversed.
→ Here is the leverage that makes this scary: $1 flowing out doesn't just remove $1 from the market. It reprices every comparable asset downward. The last outflow cycle cut Bitcoin by another 50% after prices already dropped 50%.


#StablecoinDominance #BitcoinBearMarket #BitcoinOnChain #MacroCrypto

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1 day ago | [YT] | 12