Indiacharts

Sensex vs. Gold: A 3-Decade Extreme in Asset Allocation 📈 vs 🪙

Should you be buying gold right now? The answer isn't as simple as a straight "yes" or "no," but the macro data is flashing a massive signal for your portfolio strategy.

Take a look at the monthly chart below. The Sensex-to-Gold ratio has just hit its most oversold condition in nearly three decades.

Here is what this means for your asset allocation decisions over the next 2 years:

The Absolute vs. Relative Reality: This data doesn’t predict if gold prices will explicitly crash or shoot up. If the US Dollar enters a structural bearish phase, gold prices will likely drift higher over time.

The Outperformance Play: From a relative asset allocation standpoint, history is heavily favoring Indian equities. Past market cycles show that whenever this ratio hits the bottom of its historical range, Indian equities systematically outperform gold for at least a 2-year window.

The Strategic Takeaway: If your long-term plan requires holding gold, the smartest move right now is an SIP to steadily build your optimal target holding. However, managing expectations is key - do not expect gold to beat the Sensex or Nifty in the near to mid-term.

We are at a generational valuation floor for equities relative to gold. How are you balancing your portfolio between these two asset classes right now? Let us know in the comments! 👇

1 hour ago | [YT] | 6

Indiacharts

Crude Oil: A Long-Term Bull Market Pullback in Motion

As highlighted in the chart WhatsApp Image 2026-06-01 at 08.26.09.jpeg, Light Crude Oil Futures have recently completed a clean five-wave decline, marking the completion of Wave A.

Here is what the Elliott Wave structure is signaling next:

The Immediate Outlook: We are likely to see a minor dead-cat bounce or structural recovery in Wave B, which could retest the 50-day EMA at 93.72 or slightly higher.

The Next Phase: Once Wave B exhausts its momentum, a subsequent decline in Wave C should follow to complete the larger corrective pattern.

The Big Picture: Don't lose sight of the macro trend. This entire multi-week correction is classified as Wave 2 of a larger Wave 3. In simpler terms, this is a healthy, long-term pullback within an active bull market.

Patience is key here. Complex Wave 2 corrections don't resolve overnight—this structure can take weeks or even a few months to fully mature and establish a rock-solid bottom.

What's your strategy for energy commodities during this correction? Are you waiting for Wave 2 to complete, or trading the Wave B bounce? Let us know in the comments below!

3 hours ago | [YT] | 5

Indiacharts

If you’re tired of chasing trades and want a clearer, repeatable way to enter Nifty options, don’t miss this free session with me.

I’ll walk through the exact RMI + Sentiment rules he uses to spot high‑odds entries. Live on 31 May at 10:00 AM - limited seats. Register: us06web.zoom.us/meeting/register/g_UmVYDNQsOFXyGEc…

2 days ago | [YT] | 24

Indiacharts

🚨 The Great India Miscalculation: Are Global Funds on the Wrong Side of a Historic Short Squeeze? 🚨

Global funds are sitting on a massive, historic quarter-million contract short position against the Indian stock market. They are betting heavily on a downturn - yet the market refuses to break. Why?

Because Wall Street is missing a massive structural reset happening below the surface.

In our latest feature with ‪@bwbusinessworld‬, Mr. Rohit Srivastava will break down the critical data points that point to an asymmetric upside for Indian equities:
1️⃣ The REER Reset: India's Real Effective Exchange Rate (REER) has quietly collapsed back to its fair-value baseline (~103), dramatically restoring industrial and export competitiveness.
2️⃣ Explosive Midcap/Smallcap Earnings: While headline Nifty growth looks steady, the midcap 150 cycle is hitting an explosive 34% adjusted profit growth.
3️⃣ Informed Domestic Capital: Domestic smart money is holding near-record long positions, acting as an institutional bedrock against foreign selling.

If global funds are forced to cover their 225,000+ short contracts, the resulting short squeeze won't be orderly.

Read the full feature on BusinessWorld: www.businessworld.in/article/the-great-india-misca…

4 days ago | [YT] | 16

Indiacharts

Is the Market Dip officially Over? Key Levels for Nifty, Bank Nifty & Reliance!

As market volatility keeps everyone guessing, Rohit breaks down why the broad market strength is indicating a structural uptrend and where the indices are heading next.

Key takeaways from the interview:

> Nifty Outlook: The index has likely bottomed out in May. Expect a steady bullish progression taking Nifty past 24,500–24,600 and targeting 24,500 to 25,800 in the coming months.

> Bank Nifty Breakout: A clear breakout above the downward trend line opens the highway towards 60,700 over a 1 to 3-month horizon.

> Reliance Industries: Maintaining a classic "higher low" structure with a bullish crossover on our proprietary RMI momentum indicator.

> Sector Rotations: Why IT remains a "sell on rise" structural underperformer and why our preference is shifting from PSU banks toward mid-tier private banks and NBFCs.

Watch the full ‪@CNBC-TV18‬ interview here: https://youtu.be/ONuSJSmCLj8

5 days ago | [YT] | 1

Indiacharts

The Real Bull Market Nobody is Talking About

While mainstream media headlines remain completely consumed by geopolitical noise surrounding Iran and the US, a massive bull market is quietly playing out right beneath the surface.

The Nifty Midcap 100 is hitting fresh all-time highs, but the real story is the sheer, exponential outperformance of the broader market over the Nifty 50.

📈 Look at the bottom of the chart:
The ratio chart of CNXMIDCAP/NIFTY has clearly broken out of a consolidation zone and is riding a powerful ascending channel. This isn't just random price action - it reflects the broader market's superior earnings performance quarter after quarter.

They say if market internals are strong, the market is strong. Right now, you’d have to be blind not to see the incredible structural strength operating below the surface of this market.

Are you positioned for the broad market expansion, or are you letting headline noise distract you?

📊 Chart courtesy of www.strike.money

5 days ago | [YT] | 59

Indiacharts

Tata Motors PV: A Classic Bullish Setup!

I spotted a textbook Inverted Head and Shoulders pattern on the daily charts of Tata Motors PV (TMPV). Compounding this bullish structure, the RMI (Relative Momentum Index) has triggered a fresh signal, confirming the upward momentum.

When price action aligns perfectly with momentum indicators, it's hard not to get excited about the setup!

I’ve broken down the complete technical analysis, target expectations, and invalidation levels exclusively for our Insiders.

Get the full analysis here: www.indiacharts.com/insiders-club

(Check out the chart breakdown attached below)

6 days ago (edited) | [YT] | 50

Indiacharts

Stop guessing your Nifty entries.

Join our live webinar on Smart Nifty Options Trading with RMI & Sentiment Analysis. Here you will learn trend confirmation, better entry timing, and a practical rule-based framework.

Book your seat for FREE here: us06web.zoom.us/meeting/regist…

Date: Sunday, 24 May
Time: 10:00 AM
Speaker: Rohit Srivastava

SEBI Registered Name: Indiacharts Data Analytics Private Limited.
SEBI Registration No: INH000023630

1 week ago | [YT] | 20

Indiacharts

USDINR continues to go lower, meaning a stronger rupee - and now our proprietary RMI indicator is confirming a sell signal after prices were rejected from the top end of multiple channels near 97.

Inference - USDINR has topped out at 97 and we are heading lower, back to 94 initially.

#USDINR #Forex #ForexTrading #TechnicalAnalysis #CurrencyMarket #IndianRupee #TradingView #PriceAction #MarketOutlook #RupeeStrength #TradingSignals #FXMarket

1 week ago (edited) | [YT] | 53